Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 57.5% vs Trenin 44.8% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 87.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 60.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 76.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Hertl
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hertl
Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Hertl
Trenin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
0
Hertl
Trenin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (858)
40.7% (91)
+18.0%
Power Play
55.8% (285)
0.0% (1)
+55.8%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (35)
40.0% (20)
+22.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Hertl shoots left. Trenin is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Hertl
Trenin
Home
60.1% (599)
45.5% (55)
Away
56.1% (579)
35.1% (57)
By Period
Hertl
Trenin
P1
52.4%
40.4%
P2
63.9%
38.7%
P3
58.5%
41.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Trenin
44.0%▲
40.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |