Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.3% vs Trenin 43.7% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 91.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 68.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 81.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Hertl
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Hertl
Trenin
Last 10: Hertl 6-4 Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
1
Hertl
Trenin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
2
3
Hertl
Trenin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (8,303)
43.0% (356)
+10.9%
Power Play
59.2% (1,995)
33.3% (6)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
41.0% (105)
+5.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Hertl shoots left. Trenin is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Hertl
Trenin
Home
55.8% (5,382)
45.6% (248)
Away
52.9% (5,722)
38.8% (219)
By Period
Hertl
Trenin
P1
53.6%
42.7%
P2
54.2%
47.7%
P3
55.3%
35.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Trenin
44.0%▲
40.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |