Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 55.4% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.4%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 72.1%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 52.1%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Hertl
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (717)
48.3% (271)
+5.8%
Power Play
61.9% (210)
25.0% (4)
+36.9%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (31)
71.4% (7)
-13.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hertl shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Hertl
Ostapchuk
Home
58.1% (492)
49.3% (140)
Away
53.6% (466)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Hertl
Ostapchuk
P1
57.1%
49.1%
P2
54.0%
48.9%
P3
56.6%
47.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
55.9%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%