Tomas Hertl vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.3% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 85.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 54.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 68.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Hertl
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Hertl
Girgensons
Last 10: Hertl 4-6 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
2
Hertl
Girgensons
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
4
Hertl
Girgensons
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
3
Hertl
Girgensons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (8,303)
45.5% (2,718)
+8.4%
Power Play
59.2% (1,995)
49.1% (175)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
42.2% (483)
+4.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Hertl shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Hertl
Girgensons
Home
55.8% (5,382)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
52.9% (5,722)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Hertl
Girgensons
P1
53.6%
45.8%
P2
54.2%
44.1%
P3
55.3%
45.7%
OT
46.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |