Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Nosek wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 55.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 68.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Nosek
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nosek
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Nosek
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (557)
56.5% (712)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
59.7% (67)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (111)
44.9% (49)
+2.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Nosek shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Nosek
Seguin
Home
52.3% (342)
58.5% (402)
Away
55.5% (330)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Nosek
Seguin
P1
49.0%
58.4%
P2
53.8%
54.7%
P3
57.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
53.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |