Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.6%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 61.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Nosek
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Nosek
Seguin
Last 10: Nosek 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Nosek
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
1
Nosek
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Nosek
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (2,710)
53.7% (8,071)
+1.2%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
55.9% (810)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (428)
49.3% (762)
-2.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Nosek shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Nosek
Seguin
Home
52.8% (1,656)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
54.7% (1,530)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Nosek
Seguin
P1
52.2%
52.8%
P2
54.1%
53.3%
P3
54.7%
54.7%
OT
75.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |