Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Mantha wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mantha 41.7% vs Novak 43.0% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Mantha 55.0%
Defensive zone
Novak 63.8%
Neutral zone
Mantha 51.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Mantha
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mantha
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (224)
41.9% (1,565)
-2.6%
Power Play
34.0% (47)
51.5% (134)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Mantha has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Mantha is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Mantha shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Mantha
Novak
Home
39.4% (132)
45.1% (831)
Away
37.9% (140)
40.2% (870)
By Period
Mantha
Novak
P1
46.2%
43.7%
P2
37.1%
42.9%
P3
29.0%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mantha
24.0%▼
39.5%
38.6%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.0%
42.6%