Ryan Poehling vs Tommy Novak

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 44.5%). Poehling wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Poehling 46.2% vs Novak 45.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Novak 85.3%
Defensive zone Poehling 70.4%
Neutral zone Novak 57.1%
Result Tommy Novak favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Poehling Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 4 (6 meetings)
2
4
Poehling Novak
Last 6: Poehling 2-4 Novak

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Poehling Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Poehling Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Poehling Novak
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Poehling
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (269)
43.8% (384)
+2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.8% (17)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (139)
100.0% (1)
-57.6%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +57.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Novak shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Poehling shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Poehling
Novak
Home
45.2% (177)
46.5% (202)
Away
45.3% (234)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Poehling
Novak
P1
47.7%
49.2%
P2
44.4%
44.2%
P3
44.6%
40.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
52.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%
46.5%
45.3%
Novak
44.0%
43.0%
44.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 30, 2023 3 12:49 Neutral Ryan Poehling
Mar 30, 2023 3 09:17 Defensive Tommy Novak
Mar 30, 2023 3 04:43 Neutral Tommy Novak
Mar 30, 2023 3 01:52 Defensive Ryan Poehling
Mar 30, 2023 2 10:17 Offensive Tommy Novak
Mar 30, 2023 1 18:24 Offensive Tommy Novak