Scouting Report
Tyler Bertuzzi holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 42.5% vs Bertuzzi 47.1% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Bertuzzi 53.1%
Defensive zone
Novak 61.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Novak
Bertuzzi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (408)
45.2% (84)
-4.8%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
40.9% (22)
+4.6%
On even strength, Bertuzzi has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Novak shoots left. Bertuzzi is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Novak
Bertuzzi
Home
42.0% (212)
58.0% (50)
Away
39.7% (229)
32.1% (56)
By Period
Novak
Bertuzzi
P1
41.9%
40.6%
P2
39.3%
36.6%
P3
42.1%
56.3%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Bertuzzi
34.0%▼
39.5%
44.3%