Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.0% vs Bertuzzi 42.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bertuzzi 53.9%
Defensive zone
Novak 66.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Novak
Bertuzzi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Novak
Bertuzzi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
0
Novak
Bertuzzi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (1,568)
41.0% (210)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
33.3% (42)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,093).
Novak shoots left. Bertuzzi is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Novak
Bertuzzi
Home
45.1% (831)
51.2% (123)
Away
40.2% (873)
28.2% (131)
By Period
Novak
Bertuzzi
P1
43.7%
42.0%
P2
42.8%
37.9%
P3
41.1%
37.1%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.1%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Bertuzzi
34.0%▼
39.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |