Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 42.5% vs Smith 44.1% (+9.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 59.9%
Defensive zone
Novak 59.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Novak
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (408)
34.1% (41)
+6.3%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
0.0% (4)
+45.5%
On power play, Novak has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Novak shoots left. Smith is 30.6% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Novak
Smith
Home
42.0% (212)
23.5% (17)
Away
39.7% (229)
35.7% (28)
By Period
Novak
Smith
P1
41.9%
25.0%
P2
39.3%
38.5%
P3
42.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
39.2%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Smith
36.0%▬
37.0%
31.1%