Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 42.5% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-16.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 71.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 78.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Novak
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (408)
58.5% (135)
-18.1%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
80.0% (5)
-34.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Novak shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Novak
Karlsson
Home
42.0% (212)
63.7% (91)
Away
39.7% (229)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Novak
Karlsson
P1
41.9%
54.4%
P2
39.3%
66.7%
P3
42.1%
51.9%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%