Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 41.5% vs Bozak 46.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 80.6%
Defensive zone
Bozak 69.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Zegras
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zegras
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Zegras
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (510)
46.7% (338)
-7.3%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
50.0% (6)
-2.9%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Zegras shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Zegras
Bozak
Home
42.3% (272)
47.9% (194)
Away
37.5% (272)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Zegras
Bozak
P1
37.6%
40.2%
P2
41.5%
51.4%
P3
40.8%
43.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |