Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 32.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 37.0% vs Jost 44.8% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 74.1%
Defensive zone
Jost 76.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 52.0%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Zegras
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
33.0% (264)
39.5% (86)
-6.5%
Power Play
32.1% (56)
0.0% (1)
+32.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Zegras has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Zegras shoots left. Jost is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Zegras
Jost
Home
35.3% (173)
38.9% (54)
Away
30.2% (149)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Zegras
Jost
P1
33.0%
42.4%
P2
35.7%
37.8%
P3
29.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
29.4%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%