Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Motte on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Motte 50.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Kerfoot
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kerfoot
Motte
Last 7: Kerfoot 2-5 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Kerfoot
Motte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Kerfoot
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Motte
2
3
Kerfoot
Motte
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
49.7% (149)
+0.7%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
100.0% (1)
-54.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
60.0% (5)
-20.8%
On power play, Motte has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Motte is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Motte
Home
51.4% (467)
49.4% (89)
Away
43.5% (395)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Kerfoot
Motte
P1
49.1%
51.7%
P2
42.4%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
48.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.8%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |