Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 48.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 77.1%
Defensive zone
Aho 62.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 64.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Aho
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Aho
Seguin
Last 7: Aho 1-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Aho
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Aho
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Aho
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (953)
53.9% (996)
-6.5%
Power Play
58.0% (174)
56.4% (94)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (77)
52.1% (165)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Aho is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Aho shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Aho
Seguin
Home
50.2% (609)
55.9% (633)
Away
46.9% (595)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Aho
Seguin
P1
48.7%
55.8%
P2
50.2%
51.7%
P3
47.0%
54.5%
OT
41.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
48.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |