Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Seguin wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 55.4% vs Gourde 49.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 80.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 71.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 70.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Seguin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Seguin
Gourde
Last 10: Seguin 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Seguin
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
0
Seguin
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
4
Seguin
Gourde
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (712)
49.1% (731)
+7.4%
Power Play
59.7% (67)
54.3% (81)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (49)
48.2% (85)
-3.3%
On even strength, Seguin has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Seguin shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Seguin
Gourde
Home
58.5% (402)
50.9% (479)
Away
53.8% (426)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Seguin
Gourde
P1
58.4%
51.2%
P2
54.7%
49.8%
P3
54.1%
47.5%
OT
72.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |