Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 52.5% vs Gourde 46.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 82.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 59.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Seguin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Seguin
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
0
Seguin
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
1
Seguin
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (201)
47.2% (687)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
45.0% (20)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
33.0% (88)
+11.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Seguin shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Seguin
Gourde
Home
56.3% (126)
44.4% (356)
Away
50.5% (109)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Seguin
Gourde
P1
44.3%
42.2%
P2
52.1%
50.0%
P3
62.5%
44.5%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |