William Karlsson vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Karlsson wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 54.7% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 92.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 72.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 75.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Karlsson
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (135)
45.1% (164)
+13.4%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
45.2% (31)
-0.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Karlsson shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Girgensons
Home
63.7% (91)
44.6% (92)
Away
49.3% (67)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Karlsson
Girgensons
P1
54.4%
44.2%
P2
66.7%
46.0%
P3
51.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |