William Karlsson vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 51.3% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 96.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 88.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 90.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Karlsson
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Karlsson
Girgensons
Last 10: Karlsson 8-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
5
1
Karlsson
Girgensons
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Karlsson
Girgensons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
6
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (7,849)
45.5% (2,718)
+6.3%
Power Play
54.8% (1,048)
49.1% (175)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,109)
42.2% (483)
+2.0%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Karlsson shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Girgensons
Home
52.0% (5,090)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
50.5% (4,916)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Karlsson
Girgensons
P1
50.3%
45.8%
P2
51.3%
44.1%
P3
52.4%
45.7%
OT
44.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |