Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Sturm 57.1% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Raty 68.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 61.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 60.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Raty
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
62.1% (356)
-5.3%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
75.0% (4)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
38.7% (62)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Raty
Sturm
Home
57.1% (168)
61.8% (191)
Away
57.6% (165)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Raty
Sturm
P1
62.4%
58.0%
P2
56.7%
57.9%
P3
53.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
65.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
57.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%