Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Sturm 53.6% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 90.4%
Defensive zone
Raty 69.0%
Neutral zone
Raty 80.2%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Raty
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Sturm
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
54.6% (271)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
54.4% (90)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Raty is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Raty shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Raty
Sturm
Home
60.2% (354)
53.0% (168)
Away
62.9% (286)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Raty
Sturm
P1
56.9%
58.2%
P2
67.1%
53.2%
P3
59.5%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |