Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Sturm 56.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 87.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 52.4%
Neutral zone
Raty 62.2%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Raty
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Sturm
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (905)
57.1% (2,719)
+1.6%
Power Play
71.1% (38)
61.3% (62)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
62.8% (113)
51.0% (498)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Raty shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Raty
Sturm
Home
58.9% (569)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
60.4% (487)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Raty
Sturm
P1
59.5%
56.5%
P2
62.8%
54.9%
P3
56.7%
57.4%
OT
53.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
61.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
59.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |