Adam Fantilli vs Auston Matthews
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Matthews 53.9% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 74.5%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 80.8%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 78.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Fantilli
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Fantilli
Matthews
Last 10: Fantilli 2-8 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
6
Fantilli
Matthews
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
3
Fantilli
Matthews
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
7
Fantilli
Matthews
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
54.0% (9,298)
-9.3%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
55.5% (530)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
49.8% (482)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Matthews
Home
47.3% (1,209)
56.3% (5,065)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
51.5% (5,245)
By Period
Fantilli
Matthews
P1
43.8%
55.5%
P2
46.3%
53.3%
P3
45.9%
52.8%
OT
25.8%
56.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 14, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |