Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Veleno 47.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 84.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 56.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 62.3%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Fantilli
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Fantilli
Veleno
Last 9: Fantilli 3-6 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
3
Fantilli
Veleno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Fantilli
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
47.1% (420)
-6.4%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
100.0% (1)
-47.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
25.0% (8)
-8.3%
On power play, Veleno has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Veleno
Home
44.1% (488)
47.8% (201)
Away
38.6% (531)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Fantilli
Veleno
P1
42.0%
48.8%
P2
43.0%
47.9%
P3
39.3%
44.2%
Final 5 min
38.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
41.2%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |