Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Veleno 47.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 82.2%
Defensive zone
Veleno 54.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 62.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Fantilli
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Fantilli
Veleno
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
3
Fantilli
Veleno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
3
Fantilli
Veleno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Fantilli
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
47.3% (2,317)
-2.6%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
51.0% (98)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
36.4% (88)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Veleno
Home
47.3% (1,209)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
48.6% (1,367)
By Period
Fantilli
Veleno
P1
43.8%
47.9%
P2
46.3%
47.7%
P3
45.9%
45.9%
OT
25.8%
35.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |