Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Veleno 50.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 77.9%
Defensive zone
Veleno 68.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 56.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Fantilli
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Fantilli
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Fantilli
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
52.5% (278)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
37.9% (29)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Veleno
Home
50.7% (503)
49.6% (123)
Away
48.5% (501)
52.2% (184)
By Period
Fantilli
Veleno
P1
47.0%
54.1%
P2
52.5%
48.8%
P3
49.7%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |