Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Frost 51.1% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 62.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 62.8%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 62.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Fantilli
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Fantilli
Frost
Last 6: Fantilli 2-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Fantilli
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Fantilli
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
50.3% (825)
-9.6%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
54.9% (204)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
50.0% (4)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Frost
Home
44.1% (488)
50.7% (489)
Away
38.6% (531)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Fantilli
Frost
P1
42.0%
53.6%
P2
43.0%
47.8%
P3
39.3%
52.0%
OT
11.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
41.2%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |