Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Aho 50.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 66.7%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 60.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 61.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Fantilli
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Fantilli
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Fantilli
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Fantilli
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
50.5% (878)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
53.5% (144)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
44.3% (61)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Aho
Home
50.7% (503)
53.8% (571)
Away
48.5% (501)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Fantilli
Aho
P1
47.0%
49.0%
P2
52.5%
51.7%
P3
49.7%
50.3%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |