Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 46.7% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-14.2%)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 76.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 72.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 50.0%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Gaudette
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (119)
56.5% (115)
-12.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
100.0% (3)
-62.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Gaudette is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Gaudette shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kastelic
Home
44.6% (65)
54.8% (73)
Away
43.5% (62)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Gaudette
Kastelic
P1
41.9%
50.0%
P2
49.2%
62.5%
P3
36.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.1%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
58.3%