Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 51.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 84.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 65.2%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Gaudette
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudette
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
60.8% (362)
-12.5%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
83.3% (6)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
56.2% (146)
-6.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Kastelic is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kastelic
Home
48.9% (92)
60.3% (242)
Away
50.3% (149)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Gaudette
Kastelic
P1
48.8%
58.9%
P2
52.5%
57.3%
P3
48.1%
64.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |