Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Bedard 40.7% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 81.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Lowry
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Bedard
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Bedard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
38.9% (512)
+10.4%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
43.8% (16)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
25.0% (4)
+17.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bedard
Home
50.2% (671)
40.2% (246)
Away
47.8% (709)
37.8% (286)
By Period
Lowry
Bedard
P1
48.4%
39.9%
P2
50.1%
38.5%
P3
47.8%
39.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |