Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Bedard 41.4% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 74.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 93.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Lowry
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Lowry
Bedard
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Bedard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Bedard
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
5
Lowry
Bedard
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
40.2% (1,635)
+12.7%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
51.8% (83)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
50.0% (24)
-5.2%
On even strength, Lowry has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bedard
Home
53.5% (5,920)
43.3% (785)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
38.9% (957)
By Period
Lowry
Bedard
P1
51.6%
38.9%
P2
51.7%
41.2%
P3
51.5%
42.5%
OT
46.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |