Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Bedard 46.5% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 62.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 89.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Lowry
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Bedard
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
44.2% (505)
+11.5%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
66.7% (36)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
53.8% (13)
-14.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bedard
Home
54.3% (429)
50.7% (223)
Away
53.5% (385)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Lowry
Bedard
P1
53.1%
40.2%
P2
55.2%
49.2%
P3
54.4%
47.2%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |