Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Hayes 49.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Lowry
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
48.5% (557)
+4.2%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
53.3% (107)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
58.3% (12)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hayes
Home
52.4% (597)
50.8% (313)
Away
48.4% (583)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Lowry
Hayes
P1
48.5%
52.3%
P2
52.2%
47.7%
P3
50.5%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
50.4%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |