Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Hayes 56.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 58.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Lowry
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lowry
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Lowry
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
56.6% (724)
-7.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
57.0% (79)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
65.7% (35)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hayes
Home
50.2% (671)
58.0% (405)
Away
47.8% (709)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Lowry
Hayes
P1
48.4%
54.7%
P2
50.1%
55.7%
P3
47.8%
60.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |