Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Hayes 51.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 62.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Lowry
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
51.6% (386)
+2.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
53.2% (47)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
60.0% (20)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hayes
Home
53.0% (583)
50.5% (200)
Away
50.6% (605)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Lowry
Hayes
P1
52.1%
58.8%
P2
51.8%
49.3%
P3
52.3%
48.0%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |