Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Jankowski 54.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Lowry
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Lowry
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
58.6% (273)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
66.7% (3)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
43.3% (67)
-3.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jankowski
Home
52.4% (597)
54.7% (128)
Away
48.4% (583)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Lowry
Jankowski
P1
48.5%
54.5%
P2
52.2%
56.5%
P3
50.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
50.4%
Jankowski
54.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |