Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.7%). Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Jankowski 53.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 75.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Lowry
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Lowry
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
53.7% (555)
+2.0%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
50.0% (14)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
54.3% (46)
-15.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jankowski
Home
54.3% (429)
53.2% (331)
Away
53.5% (385)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Lowry
Jankowski
P1
53.1%
52.7%
P2
55.2%
55.8%
P3
54.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |