Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 55.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Lowry
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Lowry
Jankowski
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
8
Lowry
Jankowski
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Jankowski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
51.5% (3,490)
+1.4%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
53.7% (95)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
42.7% (534)
+2.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jankowski
Home
53.5% (5,920)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Lowry
Jankowski
P1
51.6%
49.8%
P2
51.7%
51.1%
P3
51.5%
50.3%
OT
46.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |