Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Aho 50.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 74.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Lowry
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
Aho
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Lowry
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
50.5% (878)
+5.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
53.5% (144)
+32.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
44.3% (61)
-5.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Lowry
Aho
Home
54.3% (429)
53.8% (571)
Away
53.5% (385)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Lowry
Aho
P1
53.1%
49.0%
P2
55.2%
51.7%
P3
54.4%
50.3%
OT
40.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |