Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Aho 51.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 23-19 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 83.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Lowry
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
19
(42 meetings)
23
19
Lowry
Aho
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
15
Lowry
Aho
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
15
0
Lowry
Aho
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
4
Lowry
Aho
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
50.2% (6,646)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
58.9% (1,310)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
46.5% (465)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Lowry
Aho
Home
53.5% (5,920)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Lowry
Aho
P1
51.6%
51.1%
P2
51.7%
52.1%
P3
51.5%
50.8%
OT
46.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |