Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Nosek 58.0% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 74.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 58.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Lowry
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Lowry
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
59.7% (469)
-7.0%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
100.0% (4)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
56.5% (124)
-16.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nosek
Home
52.4% (597)
59.0% (295)
Away
48.4% (583)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Lowry
Nosek
P1
48.5%
56.3%
P2
52.2%
61.9%
P3
50.5%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
50.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |