Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Nosek 48.5% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 57.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Lowry
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
52.0% (102)
+3.7%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
100.0% (2)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
29.0% (31)
+10.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nosek
Home
54.3% (429)
52.0% (50)
Away
53.5% (385)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Lowry
Nosek
P1
53.1%
45.0%
P2
55.2%
42.0%
P3
54.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%