Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 53.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Lowry
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Lowry
Nosek
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Lowry
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Lowry
Nosek
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
54.9% (2,710)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
45.8% (48)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
47.2% (428)
-2.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nosek
Home
53.5% (5,920)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Lowry
Nosek
P1
51.6%
52.2%
P2
51.7%
54.1%
P3
51.5%
54.7%
OT
46.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |