Aleksander Barkov vs Sebastian Aho
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Aho 51.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 58.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 70.4%
Neutral zone
Barkov 56.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Barkov
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Barkov
Aho
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
4
Barkov
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
1
Barkov
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
48.5% (778)
+4.6%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
63.4% (191)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
50.8% (65)
+0.0%
On even strength, Barkov has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Barkov
Aho
Home
58.1% (627)
51.3% (530)
Away
52.1% (705)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Barkov
Aho
P1
53.3%
50.0%
P2
55.0%
51.3%
P3
56.0%
52.1%
OT
60.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |