Aleksander Barkov vs Sebastian Aho
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Aho 53.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 53.6%
Defensive zone
Barkov 51.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Barkov
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Barkov
Aho
Last 6: Barkov 3-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
51.2% (785)
+5.7%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
63.8% (213)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
57.9% (57)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Barkov
Aho
Home
57.4% (540)
54.9% (548)
Away
57.1% (560)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Barkov
Aho
P1
57.6%
52.8%
P2
56.6%
58.9%
P3
56.9%
50.6%
OT
72.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |