Aleksander Barkov vs Sebastian Aho
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Aho 54.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 54.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 52.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Barkov
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Barkov
Aho
Last 10: Barkov 9-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
0
Barkov
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
54.5% (870)
+1.0%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
62.4% (266)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
37.1% (62)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Barkov
Aho
Home
56.4% (550)
53.9% (603)
Away
56.7% (476)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Barkov
Aho
P1
56.5%
54.1%
P2
55.5%
55.0%
P3
57.9%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |