Scouting Report
Alex Iafallo holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Iafallo wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 49.2% vs Novak 46.5% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 59.0%
Defensive zone
Novak 54.3%
Neutral zone
Iafallo 50.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Iafallo
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (26)
43.2% (118)
+6.8%
On even strength, Iafallo has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Iafallo is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Iafallo shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Novak
Home
50.0% (16)
50.7% (71)
Away
43.8% (16)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Iafallo
Novak
P1
50.0%
44.7%
P2
30.0%
50.0%
P3
66.7%
38.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
48.0%▲
42.0%
46.9%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%