Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 46.4% vs Novak 43.5% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 57.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 63.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 60.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Iafallo
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Iafallo
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Iafallo
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
29.2% (24)
40.7% (460)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Iafallo has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Iafallo is 21.4% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Iafallo shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Novak
Home
33.3% (9)
47.0% (236)
Away
31.3% (16)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Iafallo
Novak
P1
33.3%
43.1%
P2
30.0%
43.1%
P3
33.3%
40.1%
Final 5 min
20.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
48.0%▲
42.0%
32.0%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |